Cinemark Holdings, Inc. :CNK-US: Earnings Analysis: Q2, 2017 By the Numbers : August 8, 2017

Cinemark Holdings, Inc. reports financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2017.

We analyze the earnings along side the following peers of Cinemark Holdings, Inc. – Regal Entertainment Group Class A, Marcus Corporation and AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. Class A (RGC-US, MCS-US and AMC-US) that have also reported for this period.

Highlights

  • Summary numbers: Revenues of USD 751.20 million, Net Earnings of USD 50.98 million.
  • Gross margins narrowed from 19.99% to 18.69% compared to the same period last year, operating (EBITDA) margins now 21.53% from 22.19%.
  • Year-on-year change in operating cash flow of -36.28% is about the same as the change in earnings, likely no significant movement in accruals or reserves.
  • Narrowing of operating margins contributed to decline in earnings.

The table below shows the preliminary results and recent trends for key metrics such as revenues and net income growth:

2017-06-30 2017-03-31 2016-12-31 2016-09-30 2016-06-30
Relevant Numbers (Quarterly)
Revenues (mil) 751.2 779.61 700.92 768.57 744.4
Revenue Growth (%YOY) 0.91 10.6 -0.89 9.79 -6.94
Earnings (mil) 50.98 79.35 76.62 65.32 53.63
Earnings Growth (%YOY) -4.96 36.14 33.53 41.89 -23.18
Net Margin (%) 6.79 10.18 10.93 8.5 7.2
EPS 0.44 0.68 0.66 0.56 0.46
Return on Equity (%) 3.82 6.09 6.11 5.37 4.56
Return on Assets (%) 4.67 7.3 7.23 6.23 5.14

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Market Share Versus Profits

Revenues History
Earnings History

CNK-US‘s change in revenue this period compared to the same period last year of 0.91% is almost the same as its change in earnings, and is about average among the announced results thus far in its peer group, suggesting that CNK-US is holding onto its market share. Also, for comparison purposes, revenues changed by -3.64% and earnings by -35.75% compared to the immediate last period.

Revenues Growth Versus Earnings Growth

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Leader, Earnings Focus, Laggard, Revenues Focus

Earnings Growth Analysis

The company’s year-on-year decline in earnings was influenced by a weakening in gross margins from 19.99% to 18.69%, as well as issues with cost controls. As a result, operating margins (EBITDA margins) went from 22.19% to 21.53% in this time frame. For comparison, gross margins were 21.87% and EBITDA margins were 24.33% in the previous period.

Gross Margin Versus EBITDA Margin

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Differentiated; Low Cost, Commodity; Low Cost, Commodity; High Cost, Differentiated; High Cost

Gross Margin Trend

Companies sometimes sacrifice improvements in revenues and margins in order to extend friendlier terms to customers and vendors. Capital Cube probes for such activity by comparing the changes in gross margins with any changes in working capital. If the gross margins improved without a worsening of working capital, it is possible that the company’s performance is a result of truly delivering in the marketplace and not simply an accounting prop-up using the balance sheet.

Gross Margin History
Working Capital Days History

CNK-US‘s decline in gross margins were offset by some improvements on the balance sheet. The management of working capital, for example, shows progress. The company’s working capital days have fallen to 29.13 days from 34.77 days for the same period last year. This leads Capital Cube to conclude that the gross margin decline is not altogether bad.

Gross Margin Versus Working Capital Days

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Customer Financed, Cash Starved, Supplier Financed, Cash Rich

Cash Versus Earnings – Sustainable Performance?

It is important to examine a company�s cash versus earnings numbers to gauge whether its performance is sustainable.

CNK-US‘s change in operating cash flow of -36.28% compared to the same period last year is about the same as its change in earnings this period. Additionally, this change in operating cash flow is about average among its peer group. This suggests that the company did not use accruals or reserves to manage earnings this period, and that, all else being equal, the earnings number is sustainable.

Operating Cash Flow Growth Versus Earnings Growth

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Cash Flow based Earnings, Likely Non-cash Earnings, Low Cash Flow Base, Likely Undeclared Earnings

Margins

The company’s decline in earnings has been influenced by the following factors: (1) Decline in operating margins (EBIT margins) from 15.15% to 13.66% and (2) one-time items that contributed to a decrease in pretax margins from 11.55% to 10.82%

EBIT Margin Versus PreTax Margin

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Operation driven Earnings, One-time Favorables, Low Earnings Base, One-time Unfavorables
EBIT Margin History
PreTax Margin History

Access our Ratings and Scores for Cinemark Holdings, Inc.

Company Profile

Cinemark Holdings, Inc. is a holding company which, operates through its subsidiaries in the motion picture exhibition industry. The company operates its multiplex theaters in smaller cities and suburban areas of major metropolitan markets. It operates through the following segments: International Markets and U.S. Markets. The International Markets segment consists of operations in Brazil, Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Ecuador, Peru, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama and Guatemala. The U.S. Markets segment includes U.S. and Canada operations. It has introduced NextGen concept, which features wall-to-wall and ceiling-to-floor screens and the latest digital projection and sound technologies in all of the auditoriums of a complex. These theatres generally also have an XD auditorium. The company was founded by Lee Roy Mitchell in 1984 and is headquartered in Plano, TX.

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