MYOS RENS Technology, Inc. :MYOS-US: Earnings Analysis: Q1, 2016 By the Numbers : June 22, 2016

MYOS RENS Technology, Inc. reports financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2016.

We analyze the earnings along side the following peers of MYOS RENS Technology, Inc. – GTx, Inc., XOMA Corporation, Xencor, Inc. and Omeros Corporation (GTXI-US, XOMA-US, XNCR-US and OMER-US) that have also reported for this period.

Highlights

  • Summary numbers: Revenues of USD 0.20 million, Net Earnings of USD -1.22 million.
  • Gross margins widened from -1050% to -35.90% compared to the same period last year, operating (EBITDA) margins now -563.59% from -24400%.
  • Year-on-year change in operating cash flow of 28.05% is about the same as the change in earnings, likely no significant movement in accruals or reserves.
  • Earnings growth from operating margin improvements as well as one-time items.

The table below shows the preliminary results and recent trends for key metrics such as revenues and net income growth:

2015-03-31 2015-06-30 2015-09-30 2015-12-31 2016-03-31
Relevant Numbers (Quarterly)
Revenues (mil) 0.01 0.08 0.04 0.04 0.2
Revenue Growth (%YOY) -99.61 -95.12 -66.36 218.18 3150
Earnings (mil) -1.53 -0.96 -1.29 -1.3 -1.22
Earnings Growth (%YOY) -262.41 4.3 40.56 -50.93 20.21
Net Margin (%) -25483.33 -1167.07 -3594.44 -3708.57 -625.64
EPS -0.5 -0.3 -0.39 -0.39 -0.31
Return on Equity (%) -100.02 -68.2 -100.18 -128.09 -88.5
Return on Assets (%) -90.34 -57.84 -80.09 -93.04 -68.19

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Market Share Versus Profits

Revenues History
Earnings History

MYOS-US‘s change in revenue this period compared to the same period last year of 3150% is almost the same as its change in earnings, and is about average among the announced results thus far in its peer group, suggesting that MYOS-US is holding onto its market share. Also, for comparison purposes, revenues changed by 457.14% and earnings by 6.01% compared to the immediate last period.

Revenues Growth Versus Earnings Growth

Earnings Growth Analysis

The company’s earnings growth was influenced by year-on-year improvement in gross margins from -1050% to -35.90% as well as better cost controls. As a result, operating margins (EBITDA margins) rose from -24400% to -563.59% compared to the same period last year. For comparison, gross margins were -1,042.86% and EBITDA margins were -3,508.57% in the last reporting period.

Gross Margin Versus EBITDA Margin

Gross Margin Trend

Companies sometimes sacrifice improvements in revenues and margins in order to extend friendlier terms to customers and vendors. Capital Cube probes for such activity by comparing the changes in gross margins with any changes in working capital. If the gross margins improved without a worsening of working capital, it is possible that the company’s performance is a result of truly delivering in the marketplace and not simply an accounting prop-up using the balance sheet.

Gross Margin History
Working Capital Days History

MYOS-US‘s improvement in gross margin has been accompanied by an improvement in its balance sheet as well. This suggests that gross margin improvements are likely from operating decisions and not accounting gimmicks. Its working capital days have declined to 1,635.20 days from 59,832.50 days for the same period last year.

Gross Margin Versus Working Capital Days

Cash Versus Earnings – Sustainable Performance?

MYOS-US‘s change in operating cash flow of 28.05% compared to the same period last year is about the same as its change in earnings this period. Additionally, this change in operating cash flow is about average among its peer group. This suggests that the company did not use accruals or reserves to manage earnings this period, and that, all else being equal, the earnings number is sustainable.

Operating Cash Flow Growth Versus Earnings Growth

Margins

The company’s earnings growth has also been influenced by the following factors: (1) Improvements in operating (EBIT) margins from -25,466.67% to -597.44% and (2) one-time items. The company’s pretax margins are now -625.64% compared to -25,466.67% for the same period last year.

EBIT Margin Versus PreTax Margin
EBIT Margin History
PreTax Margin History

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Company Profile

MYOS RENS Technology, Inc. engages on the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutic products, nutritional supplements and other technologies aimed at improving the health and performance of muscle tissue. Its product Re Muscle Health, seeks to rebuild, rejuvenate, and maintain lean muscles. The company was founded on April 11, 2007 and is headquartered in Cedar Knolls, NJ.

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