National Bank Holdings Corp. :NBHC-US: Earnings Analysis: Q4, 2016 By the Numbers : February 1, 2017

National Bank Holdings Corp. reports financial results for the quarter ended December 31, 2016.

We analyze the earnings along side the following peers of National Bank Holdings Corp. – JPMorgan Chase & Co., CoBiz Financial Inc., Glacier Bancorp, Inc., Guaranty Bancorp, Commerce Bancshares, Inc., UMB Financial Corporation, Howard Bancorp, Inc. and Citigroup Inc (JPM-US, COBZ-US, GBCI-US, GBNK-US, CBSH-US, UMBF-US, HBMD-US and C-PE) that have also reported for this period.

Highlights

  • Summary numbers: Revenues of USD 46.04 million, Net Earnings of USD 9.99 million.
  • Net interest income margins widened from 71.65% to 77.73% compared to the same period last year.
  • Net loan assets changed 10.59% compared to same period last year and 1.33% from previous period, total deposits changed 0.73% compared to same period last year and 1.14% from previous period.
  • Earnings growth from operating margin improvements as well as from one-time items.

The table below shows the preliminary results and recent trends for key metrics such as revenues and net income (See complete table at the end of this report):

2016-12-31 2016-09-30 2016-06-30 2016-03-31 2015-12-31
Relevant Numbers (Quarterly)
Revenues (mil) 46.04 50.75 46.87 46.39 55.73
Revenue Growth (%YOY) -17.38 8.82 0.67 -5.23 12.76
Earnings (mil) 9.99 8.3 4.49 0.24 3.33
Earnings Growth (%YOY) 200.33 411.84 434.97 -80.83 46.58
Net Margin (%) 21.7 16.36 9.58 0.51 5.97
EPS 0.36 0.3 0.15 0.01 0.11
Return on Equity (%) 7.36 5.78 2.99 0.16 2.15
Return on Assets (%) 0.87 0.72 0.39 0.02 0.28

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Market Share Versus Profits

Revenues History
Earnings History

NBHC-US‘s change in revenue this period compared to the same period last year of -17.38% is almost the same as its change in earnings, and is about average among the announced results thus far in its peer group, suggesting that NBHC-US is holding onto its market share. Also, for comparison purposes, revenues changed by -9.28% and earnings by 20.32% compared to the immediate last period.

Revenues Growth Versus Earnings Growth

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Leader, Earnings Focus, Laggard, Revenues Focus

Earnings Growth Analysis

The company’s earnings growth was influenced by the following factors: (1) Year-on-year improvements in net interest income margins from 71.65% to 77.73% and (2) improvement in loan loss provisions. As a result, net interest income after provisions margins improved from 61.92% to 74.94% compared to the same period last year. Loan loss provisions as a percentage of net interest income were 3.58% this period and 13.58% a year ago.

Net Interest Income Margin Versus Loan Loss Provisions Margin

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

High Risk; High Reward Loans, Risky Loan Portfolio, Conservative Loan Portfolio, Safer Loan Portfolio
Net Interest Income Margin History
Loan Loss Provisions Margin History

Net Loans and Total Deposits

A financial institution’s core operations represented by Net Interest Income and Net Interest Income after Provisions are dependent on both the growth and quality of its deposits as well as the growth and quality of its loans. A firm could boost its interest income in the short-term by just increasing its loan assets with less concern about their quality – but this would eventually lead to greater loan loss provisions. Similarly a drive to increase deposits could result in higher interest expenses and eventually effect the firm’s equity. It is thus important to understand net interest income performance in context to loan loss provisions, loan assets and deposits.

Loan Assets Growth Rate History (Qtr YOY)
Total Deposits Growth Rate History (Qtr YOY)

The firm’s improvement in net interest income margins was influenced by both the relative increase in the levels of net loan assets and the level of total deposits as a percentage of equity. On an absolute basis, net loan assets changed 10.59% compared to the same period last year and 1.33% from the previous period. Total deposits changed 0.73% compared to the same period last year and 1.14% from the previous period.

Margins

The company’s earnings growth has also been influenced by the following factors: (1) Improvements in operating margins from 13.85% to 21.87% and (2) one-time items. The company’s pretax margins are now 21.87%, compared to 13.81% for the same period last year.

EBIT Margin History
PreTax Margin History
EBIT Margin Versus PreTax Margin

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Operation driven Earnings, One-time Favorables, Low Earnings Base, One-time Unfavorables

Access our Ratings and Scores for National Bank Holdings Corp.

Company Profile

National Bank Holdings Corp. engages in the provision of banking products and financial services to both commercial and consumer clients. It operates through its subsidiary, NBH Bank. It offers small business loans, equipment loans, term loans, asset-backed loans, letters of credit, commercial lines of credit, commercial real estate loans, residential mortgage loans, home equity loans, and consumer loans. The company was founded by Thomas Metzger on June 16, 2009 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, CO.

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