National Security Group, Inc.: Gathering momentum, but may lack support

National Security Group, Inc. relative valuation is NEUTRAL and it has a fundamental analysis score of 25.

Our analysis is based on comparing National Security Group, Inc. with the following peers – Allstate Corporation, Atlantic American Corporation, MetLife, Inc., Assurant, Inc., United Insurance Holdings Corp., HCI Group, Inc., Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc., Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc., Federated National Holding Company and Hilltop Holdings Inc. (ALL-US, AAME-US, MET-US, AIZ-US, UIHC-US, HCI-US, UVE-US, HRTG-US, FNHC-US and HTH-US).

National Security Group, Inc. has shown underwhelming performance over the last one year while growing strongly over the last month. National Security Group, Inc.’s price momentum over the last month, at 21.74% has been better than that over the last year, which was -14.37%. Also from a peer group perspective, National Security Group, Inc. has performed better, since the peer group performance was 4.26% over the last month.

Company Snapshot

  • Compared to peers, relative underperformance over the last year is in contrast with the more recent outperformance.
  • It trades at a lower Price/Book multiple (0.82) than its peer median (1.26).
  • We classify NSEC-US as Challenged because of its below median returns and the market’s relatively low growth expectations.
  • NSEC-US has relatively low profit margins and median capital efficiency.
  • Changes in the company’s annual revenue and earnings are around the median among its peers.
  • NSEC-US’s return on equity currently and over the past five years has trailed the peer median and suggests the company might be operationally challenged relative to its peers.
  • While the company does not seem to have a relative advantage in its underwiting margins, its relatively low pre-tax margin suggests less control on operating costs versus peers.
  • While NSEC-US’s revenues growth in recent years has been around the peer median, the stock’s below peer median P/E ratio suggests that the market likely sees the company’s long-term growth prospects to be fading.
  • The company’s equity capital investment seems appropriate for a business with peer median returns.
  • Our analysis rates National Security Group, Inc. as NEUTRAL relative to its peers.

Share Price Performance

Compared to peers, relative underperformance over the last year is in contrast with the more recent outperformance.

NSEC-US’s share price performance of -14.37% over the last 12 months is below its peer median but its 30-day trend in share price performance of 21.74% is better than the peer median. This recent rising stock price may herald a change in relative share price performance.

Share Price Performance

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Leading, Fading, Lagging, Rising

Relative Valuation

Relative Valuation
Fundamental Score

National Security Group, Inc. is currently neutrally valued, as its previous close of USD 15.40 lies within the CapitalCube estimate range of USD 14.83 to USD 17.99. Over the last 52 week period, National Security Group, Inc. has fluctuated between USD 11.53 and USD 19.

Valuation & Peer Metrics

A complete list of valuation metrics is available on the company page.

Company Profile

National Security Group, Inc. is an insurance holding company, which engages in the provision of life insurance. It operates through Property and Casualty Insurance, and Life Insurance segments. The Property and Casualty Insurance segment includes home insurance coverage with primary lines of business consisting of dwelling fire and extended coverage, homeowners, and other liability. The Life Insurance segment consists of traditional life insurance, and accident and health insurance. The company was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Elba, AL.

Disclaimer

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