Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. :SMBC-US: Earnings Analysis: Q3, 2017 By the Numbers : June 8, 2017

Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. reports financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2017.

We analyze the earnings along side the following peers of Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. – NASB Financial, Inc., HMN Financial, Inc., Landmark Bancorp, Inc., Capitol Federal Financial, Inc., Bear State Financial, Inc., First Bancshares, Inc. and Meta Financial Group, Inc. (NASB-US, HMNF-US, LARK-US, CFFN-US, BSF-US, FBSI-US and CASH-US) that have also reported for this period.

Highlights

  • Summary numbers: Revenues of USD 15.36 million, Net Earnings of USD 3.95 million.
  • Net interest income margins narrowed from 84.09% to 80.95% compared to the same period last year.
  • Net loan assets changed 11.98% compared to same period last year and 1.33% from previous period, total deposits changed 13.40% compared to same period last year and 5.01% from previous period.
  • Year-on-year change in operating cash flow of 12.54% is about the same as the change in earnings, likely no significant movement in accruals or reserves.
  • One-time items pull down operating performance.

The table below shows the preliminary results and recent trends for key metrics such as revenues and net income (See complete table at the end of this report):

2017-03-31 2016-12-31 2016-09-30 2016-06-30 2016-03-31
Relevant Numbers (Quarterly)
Revenues (mil) 15.36 15.27 15.15 14.43 13.69
Revenue Growth (%YOY) 12.21 3.96 8.95 3.46 -0.76
Earnings (mil) 3.95 4.18 3.71 3.68 3.32
Earnings Growth (%YOY) 19.02 -0.78 2.04 3.28 -1.31
Net Margin (%) 25.75 27.34 24.48 25.52 24.27
EPS 0.53 0.56 0.5 0.49 0.45
Return on Equity (%) 11.97 12.89 11.65 11.87 11.01
Return on Assets (%) 1.06 1.12 1.03 1.07 0.99

Access our Ratings and Scores for Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc.

Market Share Versus Profits

Revenues History
Earnings History

SMBC-US‘s change in revenue this period compared to the same period last year of 12.21% is almost the same as its change in earnings, and is about average among the announced results thus far in its peer group, suggesting that SMBC-US is holding onto its market share. Also, for comparison purposes, revenues changed by 0.55% and earnings by -5.32% compared to the immediate last period.

Revenues Growth Versus Earnings Growth

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Leader, Earnings Focus, Laggard, Revenues Focus

Earnings Growth Analysis

SMBC-US‘s earnings rose year-on-year. But this growth has not come as a result of improvement in net interest income margins or any loan loss improvement activities in its operations. Net interest income margins were 80.95% compared to 82.32% in the immediate last period. Net interest income after provisions margins were 78.50% this period compared to 78.03% in the previous period. In addition, loan loss provisions as a percentage of net interest income were 3.02% this period and 4.89% a year ago.

Net Interest Income Margin Versus Loan Loss Provisions Margin

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

High Risk; High Reward Loans, Risky Loan Portfolio, Conservative Loan Portfolio, Safer Loan Portfolio
Net Interest Income Margin History
Loan Loss Provisions Margin History

Net Loans and Total Deposits

A financial institution’s core operations represented by Net Interest Income and Net Interest Income after Provisions are dependent on both the growth and quality of its deposits as well as the growth and quality of its loans. A firm could boost its interest income in the short-term by just increasing its loan assets with less concern about their quality – but this would eventually lead to greater loan loss provisions. Similarly a drive to increase deposits could result in higher interest expenses and eventually effect the firm’s equity. It is thus important to understand net interest income performance in context to loan loss provisions, loan assets and deposits.

Loan Assets Growth Rate History (Qtr YOY)
Total Deposits Growth Rate History (Qtr YOY)

The firm’s decline in net interest income margins came despite the relative increase in the levels of net loan assets. In addition, total deposits as a percentage of equity went from 9.18% to 9.50%. On an absolute basis, net loan assets changed 11.98% compared to the same period last year and 1.33% from the previous period. Total deposits changed 13.40% compared to the same period last year and 5.01% from the previous period.

Cash Versus Earnings – Sustainable Performance?

It is important to examine a company�s cash versus earnings numbers to gauge whether its performance is sustainable.

SMBC-US‘s change in operating cash flow of 12.54% compared to the same period last year is about the same as its change in earnings this period. Additionally, this change in operating cash flow is about average among its peer group. This suggests that the company did not use accruals or reserves to manage earnings this period, and that, all else being equal, the earnings number is sustainable.

Operating Cash Flow Growth Versus Earnings Growth

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Cash Flow based Earnings, Likely Non-cash Earnings, Low Cash Flow Base, Likely Undeclared Earnings

Margins

The improvement in operating margins from 35.55% to 36.40% has impacted the company’s earnings growth. However, one-time items have challenged the operating performance. As a result, the company’s pretax margin fell from 35.55% to 35.27%.

EBIT Margin History
PreTax Margin History
EBIT Margin Versus PreTax Margin

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Operation driven Earnings, One-time Favorables, Low Earnings Base, One-time Unfavorables

Access our Ratings and Scores for Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc.

Company Profile

Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. operates as a holding company for Southern Bank. It engages in the provision of banking services. It operates through the following banking sectors: Personal, Business, and Loans. The Personal Banking sector provides checking services, savings, loans and mortgages, and other services. The Business Banking sector offers checking services, commercial loans, cash management services, remote deposits, and merchant card services. The Loans Banking sector provides different types of loans such as home, agriculture, equipment, mortgage, and auto loans. The company was founded on December 30, 1993 and is headquartered in Poplar Bluff, MO.

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