Vince Holding Corp. :VNCE-US: Earnings Analysis: Q3, 2018 By the Numbers : December 11, 2017

Vince Holding Corp. reports financial results for the quarter ended October 31, 2017.

We analyze the earnings along side the following peers of Vince Holding Corp. – V.F. Corporation, PVH Corp., G-III Apparel Group, Ltd., Perry Ellis International, Inc., Tailored Brands, Inc. and Express, Inc. (VFC-US, PVH-US, GIII-US, PERY-US, TLRD-US and EXPR-US) that have also reported for this period.

Highlights

  • Summary numbers: Revenues of USD 79.07 million, Net Earnings of USD 3.51 million.
  • Gross margins narrowed from 49.77% to 46.19% compared to the same period last year, operating (EBITDA) margins now 9.89% from 10.90%.
  • Year-on-year change in operating cash flow of -953.62% is about the same as the change in earnings, likely no significant movement in accruals or reserves.
  • Earnings rose compared to same period last year, despite decline in operating and pretax margins.

The table below shows the preliminary results and recent trends for key metrics such as revenues and net income growth:

2017-10-31 2017-07-31 2017-04-30 2017-01-31 2016-10-31
Relevant Numbers (Quarterly)
Revenues (mil) 79.07 60.82 58.05 63.88 75.97
Revenue Growth (%YOY) 4.07 0.2 -14.19 -21.87 -6.04
Earnings (mil) 3.51 -10.13 -9.29 -162.15 3.38
Earnings Growth (%YOY) 3.82 -415.2 -382.85 -9219.69 -42.64
Net Margin (%) 4.44 -16.66 -16 -253.84 4.45
EPS 0.41 -2 -1.9 -32.8 0.7
Return on Equity (%) N/A N/A N/A -241.59 2.33
Return on Assets (%) 5.77 -17.33 -15.69 -204.02 3.39

Access our Ratings and Scores for Vince Holding Corp.

Market Share Versus Profits

Revenues History
Earnings History

VNCE-US’s change in revenue this period compared to the same period last year of 4.07% is almost the same as its change in earnings, and is about average among the announced results thus far in its peer group, suggesting that VNCE-US is holding onto its market share. Also, for comparison purposes, revenues changed by 30.00% and earnings by 134.63% compared to the immediate last period.

Revenues Growth Versus Earnings Growth

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Leader, Earnings Focus, Laggard, Revenues Focus

Earnings Growth Analysis

The company’s earnings rose year-on-year. But this growth has not come as a result of improvement in gross margins or any cost control activities in its operations. Gross margins went from 46.19% to 49.77% for the same period last year, while operating margins (EBITDA margins) went from 9.89% to 10.90% over the same time frame.

Gross Margin Versus EBITDA Margin

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Differentiated; Low Cost, Commodity; Low Cost, Commodity; High Cost, Differentiated; High Cost

Gross Margin Trend

Companies sometimes sacrifice improvements in revenues and margins in order to extend friendlier terms to customers and vendors. Capital Cube probes for such activity by comparing the changes in gross margins with any changes in working capital. If the gross margins improved without a worsening of working capital, it is possible that the company’s performance is a result of truly delivering in the marketplace and not simply an accounting prop-up using the balance sheet.

Gross Margin History
Working Capital Days History

VNCE-US’s decline in gross margins has not produced any significant offsetting improvement in its working capital . This leads Capital Cube to conclude that the decline in gross margins are likely from operating issues and not trade-offs with the balance sheet. Working capital days are currently 47.58 days, compared to last year’s level of 46.93 days.

Gross Margin Versus Working Capital Days

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Customer Financed, Cash Starved, Supplier Financed, Cash Rich

Cash Versus Earnings – Sustainable Performance?

It is important to examine a company�s cash versus earnings numbers to gauge whether its performance is sustainable.

VNCE-US’s change in operating cash flow of -953.62% compared to the same period last year is about the same as its change in earnings this period. Additionally, this change in operating cash flow is about average among its peer group. This suggests that the company did not use accruals or reserves to manage earnings this period, and that, all else being equal, the earnings number is sustainable.

Operating Cash Flow Growth Versus Earnings Growth

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Cash Flow based Earnings, Likely Non-cash Earnings, Low Cash Flow Base, Likely Undeclared Earnings

Margins

Despite a decline in operating (EBIT) margins as well as a decline in pretax margins, the company’s earnings rose.

EBIT Margin Versus PreTax Margin

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Operation driven Earnings, One-time Favorables, Low Earnings Base, One-time Unfavorables
EBIT Margin History
PreTax Margin History

Access our Ratings and Scores for Vince Holding Corp.

Company Profile

Vince Holding Corp. engages in the design and production of luxury apparel and accessories brand. It offers a wide range of womens, mens and childrens apparel, womens and mens footwear and handbags. The company operates its business through the Wholesale and Direct-to-Consumer segments. The Wholesale segment is comprised of sales to premier department stores and specialty stores in the U.S. and in select international markets. The Direct-to-Consumer segment includes its retail and outlet stores and its e-commerce business. The company was founded by Rea Laccone and Christopher LaPolice in 2002 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

CapitalCube does not own any shares in the stocks mentioned and focuses solely on providing unique fundamental research and analysis on approximately 50,000 stocks and ETFs globally. Try any of our analysis, screener or portfolio premium services free for 7 days. To get a quick preview of our services, check out our free quick summary analysis of VNCE-US.

Disclaimer

The information presented in this report has been obtained from sources deemed to be reliable, but AnalytixInsight does not make any representation about the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of this information. This report was produced by AnalytixInsight for informational purposes only and nothing contained herein should be construed as an offer to buy or sell or as a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security or derivative instrument. This report is current only as of the date that it was published and the opinions, estimates, ratings and other information may change without notice or publication. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Prior to making an investment or other financial decision, please consult with your financial, legal and tax advisors. AnalytixInsight shall not be liable for any party’s use of this report. AnalytixInsight is not a broker-dealer and does not buy, sell, maintain a position, or make a market in any security referred to herein. One of the principal tenets for us at AnalytixInsight is that the best person to handle your finances is you. By your use of our services or by reading any of our reports, you’re agreeing that you bear responsibility for your own investment research and investment decisions. You also agree that AnalytixInsight, its directors, its employees, and its agents will not be liable for any investment decision made or action taken by you and others based on news, information, opinion, or any other material generated by us and/or published through our services. For a complete copy of our disclaimer, please visit our website www.analytixinsight.com.