Wizard World, Inc. :WIZD-US: Earnings Analysis: Q3, 2016 By the Numbers : November 22, 2016

Wizard World, Inc. reports financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2016.

We analyze the earnings along side the following peers of Wizard World, Inc. – Erin Energy Corporation, Point.360 and Discovery Communications, Inc. Class A (ERN-US, PTSX-US and DISCA-US) that have also reported for this period.


  • Summary numbers: Revenues of USD 6.40 million, Net Earnings of USD 0.37 million.
  • Gross margins narrowed from 20.90% to 19.30% compared to the same period last year, operating (EBITDA) margins now 8.07% from 12.82%.
  • Year-on-year change in operating cash flow of -577.62% is about the same as the change in earnings, likely no significant movement in accruals or reserves.
  • Narrowing of operating margins contributed to decline in earnings.

The table below shows the preliminary results and recent trends for key metrics such as revenues and net income growth:

2016-09-30 2016-06-30 2016-03-31 2015-12-31 2015-09-30
Relevant Numbers (Quarterly)
Revenues (mil) 6.4 9.63 5.34 3.05 7.3
Revenue Growth (%YOY) -12.29 27.11 -12.45 -22.15 6.39
Earnings (mil) 0.37 0.4 -0.02 -2.19 0.73
Earnings Growth (%YOY) -49.67 122.23 98.36 -120.64 34.92
Net Margin (%) 5.7 4.16 -0.3 -71.99 9.94
EPS 0.01 0.01 -0 -0.04 0.01
Return on Equity (%) 57.57 80.47 -4.19 -382.74 107.6
Return on Assets (%) 25.16 20.34 -0.81 -126.98 40.9

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Market Share Versus Profits

Revenues History
Earnings History

WIZD-US‘s change in revenue this period compared to the same period last year of -12.29% is almost the same as its change in earnings, and is about average among the announced results thus far in its peer group, suggesting that WIZD-US is holding onto its market share. Also, for comparison purposes, revenues changed by -33.50% and earnings by -8.87% compared to the immediate last period.

Revenues Growth Versus Earnings Growth

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Leader, Earnings Focus, Laggard, Revenues Focus

Earnings Growth Analysis

The company’s year-on-year decline in earnings was influenced by a weakening in gross margins from 20.90% to 19.30%, as well as issues with cost controls. As a result, operating margins (EBITDA margins) went from 12.82% to 8.07% in this time frame. For comparison, gross margins were 13.50% and EBITDA margins were 5.35% in the previous period.

Gross Margin Versus EBITDA Margin

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Differentiated; Low Cost, Commodity; Low Cost, Commodity; High Cost, Differentiated; High Cost

Gross Margin Trend

Companies sometimes sacrifice improvements in revenues and margins in order to extend friendlier terms to customers and vendors. Capital Cube probes for such activity by comparing the changes in gross margins with any changes in working capital. If the gross margins improved without a worsening of working capital, it is possible that the company’s performance is a result of truly delivering in the marketplace and not simply an accounting prop-up using the balance sheet.

Gross Margin History
Working Capital Days History

WIZD-US‘s decline in gross margins has not produced any significant offsetting improvement in its working capital . This leads Capital Cube to conclude that the decline in gross margins are likely from operating issues and not trade-offs with the balance sheet. Working capital days are currently 31.97 days, compared to last year’s level of 28.38 days.

Gross Margin Versus Working Capital Days

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Customer Financed, Cash Starved, Supplier Financed, Cash Rich

Cash Versus Earnings – Sustainable Performance?

WIZD-US‘s change in operating cash flow of -577.62% compared to the same period last year is about the same as its change in earnings this period. Additionally, this change in operating cash flow is about average among its peer group. This suggests that the company did not use accruals or reserves to manage earnings this period, and that, all else being equal, the earnings number is sustainable.

Operating Cash Flow Growth Versus Earnings Growth

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Cash Flow based Earnings, Likely Non-cash Earnings, Low Cash Flow Base, Likely Undeclared Earnings


The company’s decline in earnings has been influenced by the following factors: (1) Decline in operating margins (EBIT margins) from 12.38% to 7.44% and (2) one-time items that contributed to a decrease in pretax margins from 10.34% to 5.69%

EBIT Margin Versus PreTax Margin

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Operation driven Earnings, One-time Favorables, Low Earnings Base, One-time Unfavorables
EBIT Margin History
PreTax Margin History

Access our Ratings and Scores for Wizard World, Inc.

Company Profile

Wizard World, Inc. produces comic cons and pop culture conventions across North America. The company produces pop culture and live multimedia conventions that provide a social networking and entertainment venue for popular fiction enthusiasts of movies, TV shows, video games, technology, toys, social networking/gaming platforms, comic books and graphic novels. Its Comic Cons provides marketing, promotions, public relations, advertising and sponsorship opportunities for entertainment, toy, gaming and publishing companies and also retailers. The company has two lines of business: live multimedia events, which involve ticket sales and exhibitor booth space and sponsorships and advertising, which allow advertisers a wide range of promotional vehicles on-site and through its public relations efforts. Wizard World was founded on May 2, 2001 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

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